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Winterbottom Stakes Tips & Runner-By-Runner Preview

  • Get our full preview for the Group 1 Winterbottom Stakes
  • This 1200m event is Western Australia's premier sprint race
  • We go over the chances of every runner
  • Tips & betting preview is included below
Winterbottom Stakes Tips & Preview
William Pike rides Graceful Girl in the 2021 Winterbottom Stakes. (Getty)

Winterbottom Stakes Tips & Runner-By-Runner Preview


The Perth Summer Carnival arrives at Winterbottom Stakes Day on November 27, Western Australia's premier sprint race.

This 1200m WFA feature is one of only three Group One's run in Perth, along with the Railway Stakes and Kingston Town Classic.

Below, we analyze the chances of every runner for the 2021 Winterbottom Stakes.

1. Rock Magic (7)


Grand old 12yo campaigner for the Gangemi yard who will sign off from racing in what will be his sixth and final Winterbottom appearance. Has placed and been competitive in stronger editions, while he hasn't gone backwards in two runs this spring. Is a top four hope off a soft map.

2. Elite Street (10)


Has re-affirmed his position as WA's top sprinter, bouncing back to form with three wins from as many starts this spring and is far better suited under WFA conditions. Draws to sit off midfield and make his customary dash at the business end. If the track is playing fair, he's clearly the one to beat ($2.60 @ bet365).

3. Red Can Man (11)


Could be the biggest improver from the Colonel Reeves, where he was beaten just over a length despite peaking on his effort around 100m out. Has a great second-up record and arrives off a more traditional path this year, rather than backing-up from the Railway. Can give this a serious shake ($15.00 @ Sportsbet).

4. Laverrod (8)


Recorded back-to-back wins when rounding out his autumn prep in Melbourne, getting stronger deeper into the campaign and that'll need to be fast-tracked third-up, as he has been plain in both return efforts. Probably a rung below a few of these at his best anyway. and is hard to have.

5. Money Matters (6)


Draws for a decent run and is unbeaten from two attempts over the Ascot 1200m, which includes a WFA victory over Elite Street, Valour Road and Rock Magic in May, so he's no slouch. Isn't going quite as well this time in, however, and was entitled to offer more off a soft run a fortnight ago.

6. Indian Pacific (12)


Neville Parnham has freshened-up his gun sprinter off two October runs, where he was a $2.90 fav and then a $4 chance when rolled by Elite Street, doing the donkey work each time. Will be happy to see the back of Mervyn, but his only chance is if he leads, so it's crucial that they cross early.

7. Outrageous (14)


An ex-Hawkes galloper making his debut in the west and you're only going back to last spring to find a Group 3 win in Sydney, but it fell apart from there as the five-year-old looked to find his mark in the east. Has a horror map from gate 14 and 1400m is more his go. The 100/1 quote is spot on.

8. Cup Night (13)


Clearly been set for this first-up and he's progressing beautifully from the trials, winning the last of those in nice fashion. The Carbery/Miller combination is a strong one and a fast run 1200m will see him charge late from the rear, as he did fresh in May. He's our value pick ($27.00 @ Sportsbet) in this feature.

9. Stageman (15)


Set to make his third Winterbottom appearance is this Bob Peters sprinter, who is still quite lightly raced as a seven-year-old and will be much better suited to the 1200m. After solid performances first and second-up, he was one of the unluckier runners of Colonel Reeves when held-up at a key stage.

10. Carocapo (3)


It was a much-improved effort last start from this veteran and from gate three this time around, could well be contending for the early lead. Was always that length or two off them at stakes grade when firing and isn't currently in that sort of touch. 200/1 is an accurate reflection of his winning chances.

11. Iseered Iseered (5)


As a four-year-old with just 11 starts, he's one of few with genuine upside in this field and had completed a winning hat-trick prior to that Colonel Reeves, where he was held-up for most of the straight, so there were excuses. This might've come 12 months early, but he's better than a $41 chance (via Palmerbet).

12. Long Beach (9)


Placed behind Elite Street prior to his Winterbottom win last year and now under the care of the in-form Gangemi yard, he produced a very brave run in the key lead-up, sticking on despite racing wide on a good speed. Off prior form, that effort certainly came out of the blue and now to WFA is a big knock.

13. River Beau (17)


A good sprinter that stepped up in the autumn, going to a new level with 78+ wins over Clairvoyance, Ziebell and Gemma's Son, while neither of his two spring runs have been bad, with River Beau making some inroads second-up. Is building for the right race, however, that set-up isn't here.

14. Flirtini (4)


Outside of Hey Doc, she produced arguably the run of the 2019 Winterbottom when launching from the rear in a stronger edition than this. She was flying over her early four-year-old season, and while very capable on her day, is performing well below her best this prep as a now six-year-old.

15. Graceful Girl (18)


Toyed with a handy Billy Ain't Silly to round out her three-year-old season and ran fast splits first-up this spring when saluting in style. Put in a bit of a shocker second-up, but bounced back with a chasing effort as runner-up to Elite Street, albeit had a clear run. Would've loved to have seen her draw better,

16. Wilchino (1)


Stable mate to Elite Street and has a similar profile to the last year's winner, in quickly working through the grades and stepping up with every challenge. Ticked the 1200m box on November 13 when absorbing a strong speed and gate one is a positive. Short enough at sub $5, but has to be chance.

17e. Triple Missile (16)


While he's got plenty of time to make it up with just seven starts to his name, Triple Missile missed an opportunity to cement his place a fortnight back, after being on the second line of Winterbottom betting prior to that. A runner with real X factor, he won't start $23 (via bet365) if he sneaks in.

18e. All Day Session (2)


Is improving with racing and with 11 starts since June 5, that's something he's done plenty of in recent months, with the highlight being a win over Kissonallforcheeks on September 25, although she was first-up and spotting him 3.5kg. Is capable of winning a stakes race, but not at Group 1 level.

Verdict

Providing it's an even Ascot circuit, Elite Street will take a power of beating in the 2021 Winterbottom Stakes.

Red Can Man (can improve second-up off a solid return) and Cup Night (fly's fresh/has trialed superbly) are two each-way chances at double figure prices.

Best Bet: Elite Street To Win @160 at bet365 Australia - 5 Units
Value Bet: Red Can Man Each Way @1400 at Sportsbet - 1 Unit
Value Bet: Cup Night Each Way @2600 at Sportsbet - 1 Unit

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