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Caulfield Cup 2025 Betting Tips - 3 long range predictions for the Caulfield Cup

adam-cusworth
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Last updated: 19 Jul 2025
Adam Cusworth 19 Jul 2025
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  • 2025 Caulfield Cup scheduled for October 18, featuring top middle-distance gallopers.
  • Aeliana, the favorite, benefits from past successes and aims for both Caulfield Cup and possibly Cox Plate.
  • Treasurethe Moment showcases versatility with multiple wins and has a strategic path towards major races.
  • Middle Earth, a strong international contender, poses as a key player after impressing in Australian races.
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caulfield cup
MELBOURNE, AUSTRALIA - OCTOBER 19: Joao Moreira riding Buckaroo in the first lap in Race 9, the Sportsbet Caulfield Cup - Betting Odds during Melbourne Racing at Caulfield Racecourse on October 19, 2024 in Melbourne, Australia. (Photo by Vince Caligiuri/Getty Images)
The Caulfield Cup will be the first of the Melbourne spring majors in 2025 and pits the middle distance gallopers up against one another in the famous Handicap over the 2400m, which will be run on October 18. 

  • Zardozi
  • Kingswood
  • Gilded Water

It is a couple of rising mares that look to be major players from a long-range perspective, while a former import is another that is on the rise and is one to consider in the Group 1 feature that was taken out by Duke De Sessa in 2024. 

Here are our top three long-range predictions for the 2025 Caulfield Cup

Aeliana


The current favourite for the Caulfield Cup is Aeliana and the Chris Waller-trained galloper ticks plenty of boxes. She was dominant at her first go over the 2400m when defeating the boys by five lengths in the Australian Derby (2400m) and the stable have announced that the Caulfield Cup is her likely path with a Cox Plate (2040m) tilt also a possibility. She gets the 2kg allowance as a four-year-old mare with that age group having had success in this race in the past 15 years via the likes of Jameka and Southern Speed, while Waller has taken out this race in two of the past five years with Verry Elleegant (2020) and Durston (2022). 

Treasurethe Moment


Sticking with the theme of four-year-old mare and Treasurethe Moment has proven her class with an impeccable 2024/25 campaign, winning key lead-up races at Caulfield before triumphing in the major races for her age group, taking out the VRC Oaks (2500m) and the ATC Oaks (2400m). She has the versatility to take her a long way and has shown she can race on the speed, adapting to slow and truly run races with her race record of 11 starts for nine wins and two runner-up’s. Under the guidance of Matt Laurie, she will be tracking a spring schedule that reads Memsie Stakes → Makybe Diva → Turnbull before a big decision on either Caulfield Cup or Cox Plate. 

Middle Earth


Middle Earth shapes as a solid player in the 2025 Caulfield Cup with the Ciaron Maher-trained gelding likely to head down the traditional Cups path. The five-year-old impressed immediately in Australia with his dominant win in the Australian Cup Prelude over 2000m at Flemington and will have had time to further acclimatise to Australian conditions since then. A proven performer at Group level in the UK—highlighted by a G3 win at Newbury (2414m) and a placing at Royal Ascot in the Hardwicke Stakes (2414m), he is likely mid-range at the weights. 

Verdict

2025 Caulfield Cup tips
Best Bet1: Aeliana Caulfield Cup Winner @7/1 at Elitebet - 1 Unit
Best Bet2: Treasurethe Moment Caulfield Cup Winner @12/1 at Elitebet - 1 Unit
Best Bet3: Middle Earth Caulfield Cup Winner @17/1 at Elitebet - 1 Unit
Aeliana
Caulfield Cup Winner
@7/1 - 1 Unit
Lightning fast betting
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Treasurethe Moment
Caulfield Cup Winner
@12/1 - 1 Unit
Lightning fast betting
Join with code BETSAU

18+. T&Cs apply

Bet at Elitebet
Middle Earth
Caulfield Cup Winner
@17/1 - 1 Unit
Lightning fast betting
Join with code BETSAU

18+. T&Cs apply

Bet at Elitebet

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