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Horse Racing Tips - Saturday, February 28

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Flemington Racing Tips for February 28 – Bird to fly in the Blamey Stakes

adam-cusworth
Adam Cusworth
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Last updated: 25 Feb 2026
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Adam Cusworth 25 Feb 2026
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  • Sneaky Sunrise is a strong contender in Race 4, showing consistency and strong past performances.
  • Birdman brings class to Race 7, with potential for a strong finish if given a clear run.
  • Observer and Alpha Sofie are top picks in their races, needing to showcase tactical speed and adapt to conditions.
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Blamey Stakes
Racing is at Flemington on Saturday for the Australian Guineas meeting (Getty Images)
Flemington racing takes place on Saturday, February 28, with a 10-race meeting that features the Group 1 Australian Guineas.

Here are our best bets from the meeting, which also features in our daily tips.

Race 4 No.3- Sneaky Sunrise


Sneaky Sunrise can go on with the job in Race 4. The Team Hayes galloper produced an excellent performance at Caulfield over the 1600m at her most recent start to pounce on them in the straight, drawing clear to win by nearly two lengths from Ahha Ahha. She meets that horse 3kg worse off at the weights but has been alot more consistent and races just as well at Flemington with some solid performances on benchmark figures a couple of starts ago as well as a career peak at the track and trip this time a year ago. She seems to be right back to her best and she maps to sit just behind the leaders from barrier 4. Stick with her. 

Race 7 No.5- Birdman


The Blamey Stakes is always an excellent back-up race on Guineas day and this year’s edition should go right down to the wire. Birdman has been targeted for longer races in previous preparations since coming to Australia but looks very comfortable over the mile and was unlucky when resuming over the 1400m with a 4th behind Cafe Milennium at Flemington a fortnight ago. The five-year-old was held up in the early parts of the straight before clocking the fastest last 200m. Second up at his last preparation, the former import was equally as unlucky when 5th behind the likes of Linmdermann and Sir Delius in the Chelmsford Stakes (1600m) at Randwick. He has a touch of class about him and with a clear crack at them, he should be hard to hold out late in the piece. 

Race 8 No.1- Observer


Observer can take the next step in his elite three-year-old campaign in the Australian Guineas. The proven Group 1 colt was excellent first-up in the Autumn Stakes at Caulfield, going 8.8 lengths faster than standard benchmark as he powered through the line over 1400m, a figure that only just sits below the 10.5 lengths faster than standard benchmark he produced when desperately unlucky in last spring’s Caulfield Guineas. Since that run he has added the Moonee Valley Vase and Victoria Derby to his résumé, proving both his class and his stamina at the top level. Back to the mile at Flemington – a track where he has already won a Derby – he looks ideally placed. He has the tactical speed to roll forward from barrier six, control the race in a contest that lacks genuine pressure and build from the 600m. If he gets it on his terms, he’ll take plenty of running down. 

Race 9 No.3- Alpha Sofie


Alpha Sofie is a clear top pick in the Inglis Sprint. The highly promising filly from the Moody/Coleman stables has won four of five career starts and resumed with a dominant performance at Caulfield to score with ease ahead of Wintery. She was a tad keen and was posted wide but still had the answers. She has not looked back since missing out on debut and it is worth noting that she improved nearly 14 lengths on benchmark figures at her only career second up run to score at Eagle Farm before coming down and claiming the Atlantic Jewel Stakes (1200m). She just needs to handle the straight to continue the impressive start to her career. 

Verdict

Flemington Racing Tips
Best Bet1: Sneaky Sunrise Race 4 Winner @17/5 at dabble - 1 Unit
Best Bet2: Birdman Race 7 Winner @19/5 at picklebet - 1 Unit
Best Bet3: Observer Race 8 Winner @23/17 at picklebet - 1 Unit
Best Bet4: Alpha Sofie Race 9 Winner @8/5 at dabble - 1 Unit
Sneaky Sunrise
Race 4 Winner
@17/5 - 1 Unit
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Birdman
Race 7 Winner
@19/5 - 1 Unit
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Observer
Race 8 Winner
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Alpha Sofie
Race 9 Winner
@8/5 - 1 Unit
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with referral code BLACKBOOK

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