Wednesday Racing Tips - February 14
- Wednesday Racing Tips - February 14
Wednesday racing tips this week come from Ballarat, Belmont, Doomben, Gawler and Randwick-Kensington.
Ballarat Best Bet - Race 5 No. 6 Pondalowie
We were with her on debut when she backed up strong lead-up work to win a Bendigo maiden by two lengths and Pondalowie was tipped out after that September 27 win.
The time of that event stacked up well for the meeting, with her maiden rating stronger than the BM64 taken out by Celui.
That colt who won a metro race at his next outing, which reads for well Pondalowie, who was an early season three-year-old then.
She looks at least city class and arriving here off two jump-outs, including a Cranbourne win in decent time, she'll get every chance on the speed under Blake Shinn.
Ballarat Next Best Bet - Race 2 No. 7 Grouse Mountain
It was a terrific debut without luck, with Grouse Mountain being back and green in that Seymour attempt on January 3, where she was forced to come wide in a small field.
The daughter of Vancouver was runner-up in that first race day appearance and behind a winner who has since saluted again, she recorded the fastest last 200m of the meeting.
With a gap between runs, the Ciaron Maher-trained filly has won a tick-over trial at Bendigo.
Importantly, she did jump a lot cleaner in that January 23 workout, so they can settle closer this time around.
Ballarat Value Bet - Race 8 No. 6 Shove Over
This son of Nicconi ran a cracker of a race fresh at 30/1, with the five-year-old managing fourth in a BM78 up the Flemington straight.
He was then unlucky second-up at The Valley, so it's worth forgiving his latest performance.
Sent out as a $9 chance in a BM78 on January 27 off the back of that promising return, Shove Over was held-up at key stages when finishing sixth-of-ten over 1200m.
He's looking for something a little easier over 1400m, which Shove Over gets here third-up at BM70 level and his last two victories have come in this benchmark.
Ballarat Roughie - Race 6 No. 6 Rising Sun
He landed good bets on debut at Horsham when saluting by two lengths and while Rising Sun was disappointing at Donald following that, there were excuses for that flop.
The Henry Dwyer-trained galloper covered ground in that November 19 attempt over 1200m.
An irregular heart rhythm was also detected post-race and he was spelled as a result.
Although a sole quiet jump-out on January 30 was inconclusive in regards to his first-up chances, the gelding has tactical speed and from gate three, he should be able to lead.
Belmont Best Bet - Race 4 No. 3 Lord Vampi
It's a tough midweek program for a standout, although first-up in a Class 1, Lord Vampi finds a winnable race.
A well bred-galloper, being out of a stakes winner in Vampi Lass, the gelding was runner-up behind Ancient Guidance on debut.
That galloper theb bolted in with another Saturday race only seven days later.
Lord Vampi was then a stylish winner at short odds before covering ground as a beaten fav at Belmont and class should take him a long way here.
Belmont Next Best Bet - Race 6 No. 5 My Fury
It was a lovely return from the five-year-old, who spotted them a start before balancing up late.
In the process, she recorded the second-fastest last 200m of the January 28 card from Mount Barker.
A galloper who was competitive a few times at stakes level as a three-year-old, My Fury can settle much closer over 1400m second-up, especially now that she draws low.
Although her winning strike rate isn't flash, the mare was still competitive at Saturday level last year after a Class 3 triumph, while two of her three wins have come at Belmont.
Belmont Value Bet - Race 3 No. 11 I'm That Girl
Despite racing greenly throughout her debut assignment at Bunbury on February 4, the Luke Fernie-trained filly recorded the fastest closing splits of that 1108m maiden.
I'm That Girl was also held-up in that most recent attempt, where the three-year-old only got clear at the 200m.
She took a tight gap late and got home strongly, and that run supports the rise in distance here.
There should be a lot of natural improvement with racing experience now under her belt and with the winkers on to sharpen her up, I'm That Girl can breakthrough.
Belmont Roughie - Race 2 No. 9 Uni Strike
There was depth to the maiden that he contested on debut last September, where Uni Strike stuck on fairly over 1200m, although he lacked a turn-of-foot at that trip.
Spelled after that first race day appearance, the three-year-old arrives to Wednesday's resumption off two trials.
He made ground behind a useful stablemate in the latest and he does look forward enough fresh.
As a galloper who is likely to get over further, going straight to 1400m first-up will suit the son of Universal Ruler, who has each-way claims in a weak maiden.
Doomben Best Bet - Race 6 No. 1 Prime Asset
The five-year-old has shown good form in the last 12 months, finishing in the first three in all bar one of his seven starts.
Notably those efforts include a narrow margin victory when contesting a Benchmark 70 handicap over this course and distance in August.
Prime Asset was spelled following a fourth when beaten less than two lengths in a Class 5 over this track/trip two starts later.
The gelding registered a good effort on that occasion and returned with a second when beaten a length over 1200m in a Class 4 handicap here at the start of the month.
Doomben Next Best Bet - Race 8 No. 12 Piece Of Turf
The five-year-old has shown a liking for the forecast soft going in the past, winning twice and placing second once from her four starts soft going.
The most recent recent of those efforts saw her come home a length clear of her rivals when contesting a Benchmark 60 handicap over this distance at the Sunshine Coast in December.
The mare had to overcome being hampered at the start and losing a plate on that occasion, and she performed well here on her only subsequent appearance.
Piece Of Turf was beaten less than half-a-length into second when contesting a 1110m Benchmark 62 on a Good 4 here last month and the return to this trip is in her favour.
Doomben Value Bet - Race 7 No. 4 Motell
The gelding has shown good form in his last two starts, with the first of those seeing him deliver an impressive win in a 1666m Benchmark 58 handicap at Ipswich.
Motell came home over four lengths clear of his rivals when making all the running on January 6.
The seven-year-old followed that up with a good third when beaten two-and-a-half-lengths, having raced from off the pace when upped to a Benchmark 78 contest at the Sunshine Coast later that month.
The return to form has coincided with the reapplication of blinkers, with the gelding shaping as if he was ready for this step up in distance when finishing strongly last time out.
Doomben Roughie - Race 3 No. 12 Torque About Magic
The three-year-old has registered some good efforts in five starts to date, including when beaten less than one-and-a-half-lengths into third in a small field at the Sunshine Coast on debut.
Torque About Magic raced on a Good 4 in that race, held in January last year and she was spelled following that effort.
The filly showed a liking for this venue when a length second in a 1200m contest here first-up, while she encountered a wet track for the first time when fifth at Eagle Farm subsequently.
The daughter of Kermadec ran twice at Sunshine Coast subsequently and having gone well fresh here in the past, she may prove up to surprising dropping back in distance.
Gawler Best Bet - Race 5 No. 1 Meg’s Magic
Trainer Phillip Stokes’ representative is a dual winner from four starts this prep, having resumed with a victory in an 1100m maiden at Sale in December.
The Squamosa filly came home over one-and-a-half-lengths clear of her rivals that day and duly followed up when contesting a track/trip here next time.
The three-year-old race on a Soft 7 and while she failed to shine at Morphettville subsequently, she returned to form with a good fourth last time.
Barrier nine should pose no issues given she has won from off the pace in the past and Meg's Magic looks up to recording the third win of her career on Wednesday.
Gawler Value Bet - Race 4 No. 6 Fox D’Or
The son of Foxwedge has demonstrated good form at this venue in the past, including when placing twice on a Soft 5 track here last year.
The second of those efforts saw the seven-year-old lose out by less than a length when runner-up in a 1706m Benchmark 58 handicap at the start of August.
While the gelding has failed to build on those efforts in six subsequent starts, he has registered decent efforts in two starts this campaign.
He kept on nicely in behind when sixth, beaten just over four lengths over 1600m in a Restricted 64 handicap on that occasion and he looks value to score back in grade third-up.
Randwick-Kensington Best Bet - Race 6 No. 7 Balkans
It's common for Godolphin gallopers to trial quietly, so while Balkans was swamped late in his last hit-out on February 1 at Hawkesbury, he wasn't pushed out in that heat.
The son of Lonhro won the first two starts of his second campaign and after a pair of failiures at stakes level later on that spring, he's been gelded ahead of his third prep.
James Cummings has been trying to get him settling, which appears to be working go off his recent showings.
From gate four fresh, he should land in the first few pairs in what looks a very winnable race.
Randwick-Kensington Next Best Bet - Race 1 No. 2 Sweysive
The Kensington circuit hasn't been easy one for punters to trust so far this season and a good starting point is favouring those that handle the inner track at Randwick.
With two wins from two starts here, including a track/trip victory over Luvoir (dual BM78 winner in December), Sweysive does look well-placed over the 1550m now third-up.
A galloper who has no winning first-up form, his return defeat when well held was no shock.
He did improve second-up on January 26 and up in trip here will suit third-up.
Randwick-Kensington Value Bet - Race 5 No. 4 Accuse
All three of his wins have come either first or second-up and arriving here off a promising stable debut for Bryce Heys, Accuse also gets the blinkers reapplied for this attempt.
That has been a key piece of gear in prior performances (worn blinkers in both Australian wins).
Up in distance to 1800m off a fast-run 1400m fresh should suit the six-year-old.
He caught the eye in his last trial ahead of that Kembla outing and while this is technically harder, it's not a strong race for metro standards and he carries 2.5 kg less.
Randwick-Kensington Roughie - Race 7 No. 9 Cut On A Dime
Cut On a Dime has never been a great trialler, so while he hasn't exactly worked the house down recently, those January heats were an improvement of previous workouts.
Given plenty of time and returning as a gelding after Queensland Derby prep last year, he did show ability over his first two campaigns, which includes a win here.
That triumph came last year over this track/trip, where he overcame trouble and made ground in restricted room to score.
There was also a decent move at big odds on that occasion, so respecting him here fresh.