Geelong Racing Tips 29.09.2021 - 4 Best Bets28 Sep 2021 Read more
Saturday Racing Tips - Belmont, Caulfield, Eagle Farm, Morphettville & Rosehill on June 26
- Full guide to Saturday race and the best bets to back
- Selections at Belmont, Caulfield, Eagle Farm, Morphettville & Rosehill
- Blackbook previews all five metro meetings
Eagle Farm stages Tatts Tiara Day (Getty)
Blackbook experts preview all five metro meetings with Saturday racing tips for Belmont, Caulfield, Eagle Farm, Morphettville & Rosehill on June 26.
Race 3 JANE CARR 50TH BIRTHDAY HANDICAP Tips
This four-year-old Aberdeen Queen is clearly the class galloper in this line-up and although has to lump 60.5kg due to this drop in grade, she's a proven weight career while jumping from barrier three on Saturday, she finally draws a gate.
Trained by Lindsey Smith who is striking at better than 21% at Belmont over the last 12 months, Aberdeen Queen was desperately unlucky at Group Three level last campaign and while that was over 1800m, it as an example of her ability.
She was the only runner in her May 22 event to break 34 seconds for the last 600m (33.97) and on June 12 when getting to the mile, was completely unsuited when off the speed and wide here in a slowly run race.
Race 5 AMELIA PARK HANDICAP Tips
You won't miss the strapping Ambiente in the run, a big and striking son of Trade Fair that has had plenty of problems over the journey, but when right, he's a more than handy sprinter and there's a few signs that he could produce fresh.
Returning off a long spell early last spring where he delivered two poor efforts, it's worth noting that the dreaded bar plates have now been removed from this seven-year-old, so they've got his feet right at present which is a huge positive.
In another big tick, William Pike sticks after two trial wins ahead of his return with 'The Wizard' aboard for both of those heats and drawing perfectly in gate three, this is the most appealing runner in the field if we're looking away from the obvious.
Race 6 PENINSULA DINING ROOM HANDICAP Tips
In a race that was otherwise dominated by the on-speed runners on May 29 , this lightly raced Bob Peters-owned mare Devoted Star has come from last, sustaining a wide run to go within a stride of grabbing Comes A Time over 1000m.
That winner was hard fit sprinter that was fourth-up and on the seven-day turnaround while Devoted Star followed that with a 1200m performance on June 12 and although visually she was poor, it was a leader dominated affair and she has no second-up form.
Stripping fitter again now third-up from a decent spell, they've now put the blinkers on the daughter of Al Maher who is suited to 1300m and from a soft draw along with that key gear change, I'm prepared to give her a chance to bounce back.
Race 5 Take It To The Neds Level Handicap Tips
I'M THUNDERSTRUCK is by far the best horse in this race and really should be winning based off the dominance of his last victory at Sale. That win was over 1208m and he now steps up to 1440m, where he is much more suited, and even will be over further once he gets more racing under the belt.
Kermy is a big price who won on the synthetic last start so coming to town now is a good formula. Two back he was three lengths from Riot And Rose who looks a very smart horse going into the spring.
Next Step Berrima will enjoy the wet conditions here but does rise a lot in class. Another who is well over the odds.
Imperial Hilton was a great winner in SA last start and is untested in very wet ground, so that is the unknown coming into the race, but it would be no shock to see him give the favourite a scare.
Race 8 Neds Handicap Tips
RIGHT YOU ARE is a very talented galloper on his day and if right first-up, can be winning this.Although suited over further, he attacked the line strongly first-up last prep. He has form in wet conditions and if fit, is the one we want to be with now and going forward.
Corner Pocket is the one in-form and can dictate proceedings from the front. If he can control the speed and have it his own way, he is the horse they need to get past in the straight.
Mr Tipla backed up his consistent form of late with a win last start. Expect him to run another bold race as he has done all prep.
Viral is next best now second-up, looking for a peak performance third and fourth-up.
Race 9 Neds Filter Form Handicap Tips
THE GAUCH was fantastic first-up when winning at this track and trip. He is unbeaten second-up and has form on wet ground while he Matt Cartwright claim gets him in well at the weights. This gelding can again punch forward and he appeals as one of the better bets on the meeting.
Ocular was heavily supported in the Straight Six two starts back but did improve last start up to the 1400m. Back in trip here and now gets to Caulfield on a wet track, so expect a good run.
Pintoff was beaten by The Gauch last start so he has to be given a chance, but the issue is the wide gate and how much work he needs to do in running.
Irish Songs loves wet ground and although his most run looks average on paper, nothing went right there. He can improve on Saturday.
Race 2 ERNIE WARD MEMORIAL QTIS 3YO Fillies Handicap Tips
Redoute’s Image was well supported at the Sunshine Coast last start and she got the job done with Craig Williams in the saddle, who sticks with her today.
When the girls find form, we want to be sticking with them, especially considering the dominance of that last start win.
Redoute's Image is going to find a gun spot from gate four and with a leading rider aboard, she makes it hard to tip against her.
Race 4 97.3 TATTERSALL'S GOLD CROWN Tips
Zayydani bolted in at the Gold Coast last start after contesting some much stronger events in both Victoria and South Australia, finally getting that much deserved win.
That win should give Zayydani a good confidence booster into this race where she meets Polly Grey who would be the one to beat on a soft track, but I am doubting it is going to get wet enough to be declaring her.
In that case, that favours this mare who is in form and has a touch of class that can carry her a long way here.
Race 8 SKY RACING TATTERSALL'S TIARA Tips
Brooklyn Hustle is in winning form, stringing together back-to-back victories for the first time in the Dane Ripper and we know she has the class at this level after competing at the highest level for the majority of her career.
Always looking a Group One winner in the making and with this race lacking genuine depth at the top end, this is the best chance that Brooklyn Hustle will get to record a major.
Barrier 12 is just about perfect for this mare who will drop out early and off a good speed, will look to repeat the dose of a fortnight ago over this same track and trip.
Race 2 Accolade Wines Handicap Tips
Crossing the border for start number three Tread Softly, a filly from the Ben & JD Hayes yard, a daughter of Nicconi who was an impressive winner at Kyneton on debut when steaming home from just off the speed.
The time for that 1100m Maiden stacked up quite well for the class and she defeated Clean Machine in the process, a three-year-old who broke through via her next outing and she had some strong form lines from her prior two campaigns.
Tread Softly had excuses when held-up from the 500m to the 200m as a beaten favourite at Pakenham, but back on the turf and with a wide draw where she can build momentum, this is better placement back against her age group where she plummets in the weights.
Race 8 TAB Handicap Tips
While this lightly raced four-year-old Frankie Pinot gives every indication that he could well be a very effective middle-distance galloper in time, he's proven to be very versatile to date, placing over 1100m dashes early before breaking his Maiden at start four over six furlongs.
That win did come over the Morphettville 1200m last September and in what will be a much more testing trip on Saturday with the conditions, Frankie Pinot went back-to-back at Geelong third-up, ploughing through a Heavy 9 with 62kg on his back.
Arriving here off a soft trial win at Ballarat, the son of Your Song will improve off whatever he does Saturday, but as the runner with probably the most upside in this field, he's each-way odds in what is a race with little depth.
Race 9 Irish Race Day at Morphettville - Saturday August 14 Handicap Tips
With 24 winners at a very impressive strike rate of 22% in 2021, gun trainer Will Clarken always has to be respected, especially when combining with his main hoop Todd Pannell, who is in a tight tussle currently with Jessica Eaton for the Adelaide Metropolitan Jockey title.
He's Exclusive was backed as if unbeatable in his Australian debut at Murray Bridge and he disappointed, with the post-race veterinary examination revealing him to be suffering atrial fibrillation, so there were definite excuses for that flop.
Sent back to the trials and winning his Balaklava heat in second gear on June 22, it's also worth noting that Pannell felt the gelding didn't appreciate the good surface on June 13 and the ex-Kiwi won't have that trouble this Saturday on what is currently a Heavy 8.
Race 3 BOOKMAKERS RECOGNITION DAY STAYERS CUP Tips
The only winner over two miles in this field is SWEET THOMAS who comfortably saluted in this race last year with 60kg and is carrying that same impost here for what is a slightly weaker field if anything. Building nicely off three efforts so far this preparation, the veteran is going every bit as well this time around and he's a stayer that handles any conditions.
I've never been able to catch Kaapfever who despite having not attempted any contest past 2400m, is seemingly one of the very few going well enough to win this. He drops a whopping 9.5kg off his May 14 attempt where he finished off well for second.
Feel The Rush was ticking quite well after two spring performances where he couldn't get out of his own way. Although disappointing on May 29, he was appreciating the spaces between runs prior to that.
Terwilliker hasn't been disgraced in two attempts in this race and it was much improved effort fourth-up at Warwick Farm. Top three/four hop, but I couldn't back him to turn the tables on Kaapfever from that.
Race 5 GARRY BURGESS HANDICAP Tips
With a more genuinely run 1500m affair, CADENABBIA may just find his right set-up, as he did second-up in the spring before a Group Three tilt. The tongue-tie went on prior to his fresh win at Warwick Farm and was completely unsuited there via his latest when attempting a run off a crawling tempo. Doesn't need to lead, but can roll across and ideally find a back to follow.
Winning three races in his second racing preparation was the honest front-runner Knight who needed the run fresh in a BM78 and was only reeled in via the last few strides second-up. That was easily his best effort to date on heavy ground.
The favourite Wairere Falls bring easily the best form lines coming back to BM72 grade with an unlucky second to Great House two back before being safely held as runner-up last Saturday. I still think he's more effective on Soft 5/6 going.
Maccomo seems to run the same race whether it be in town or in a Country Class 2 and is generally thereabouts. The Randwick mile will test him, but with 53.kg after the claim, he can again give a sight.
Race 7 KEITH FREE OAM HANDICAP Tips
After recording a big win in his second Australian start, GREAT HOUSE failed in two subsequent efforts although it's certainly worth respecting the $2.50 SP against Yonkers and Realm Of Flowers. Class overcame the 1500m trip first-up and the rise to 1800m along with staying on wet ground is ideal. Is the most progressive runner in the field and he's down to 55.5kg. Best of the day.
Opacity is the clear threat to the favourite, but does now rise 6kg off that third-up victory although he's a proven carrier than generally holds his form. Great House has more class, but this four-year-old is a little more genuine.
We got the cash out of the handsome Mubariz on June 5, a galloper that's in career best form and is only three runs into his preparation. He does go up 4.5kg now and faces two pretty handy market elects. It's his biggest test to date.
As we saw with Joe Pride via Stockman, he has a good record with backing these middle distance/staying types up in winter and the astute trainer is aiming for the same with Brutality. This runner is getting pretty costly, however.
Best bets for Saturday are:
Caulfield Best Bet: I'm Thunderstuck Race 5 @100 at BetMGM - 10 Units
Eagle Farm Best Bet: Redoute's Image Race 1 @160 at Sportsbet Racing - 5 Units
Rosehill Best Bet: Great House Race 7 @190 at Ladbrokes Racing - 5 Units
31 October 2021
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