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Kembla Grange Tips, Best Bets & Preview - Thursday 8th July
- Four selections for midweek racing at Kembla Grange
- Follow the Waterhouse/Bott stable
- Get our best bets for Kembla Grange
Eight races feature on the Kembla Grange program this Thursday. (Getty)
Kembla Grange Tips - July 8
Race 1 12:00pm AEST – No. 5 Stiller
The Brad Widdup-trained four-year-old finished fourth fresh up at Newcastle, which is a good betting guide for this contest. He is a son of Uncle Mo that owns three second placings from six starts and he deserves a winning turn soon. One of those placings came at Kembla Grange and two of them came at this distance. Prior to running fourth fresh up he had posted a trial win at Wyong, so he’s running well.
Jumping from barrier three is ideal and he has senior jockey Nash Rawiller in the saddle. It’s not the strongest maiden field we have seen and we’re keeping the faith with Stiller to come up big.
Race 2 12:35pm AEST – No. 2 Significant Rule
Punters should always respect a well-backed runner from the Waterhouse/Bott stable and Significant Rule fits the bill. The four-year-old son of Medaglia D’oro started his career with consecutive second placings either side of a spell. It didn’t take him long to get on the board and out of maiden grades. He scored a 1.5-length victory at Newcastle, which was a fine effort up in distance.
Rising to the mile holds no fears and he will likely be sent forward, which can be positive at Kembla Grange. Runners are able to hug the rail and kick strongly, which is what we expected Significant Rule to do. The odds are attractive and they could shorten significantly closer to start time.
Race 5 2:25pm AEST – No. 5 Command King
Most of the early betting support has come for Command King, which isn’t surprising given his form. The four-year-old has had five starts for two wins and three placings, so he has yet to finish outside the placings. Punters always enjoy betting on consistent runners, and although Command King faces a tricky field on Thursday, he looks like a progressive type.
Although beaten fresh up at Hawkesbury, he was a narrow margin from winning and it was a lovely run for fitness purposes. It should top him off nicely for this race and it’s another premium ride for Nash Rawiller. The big bets have come and we don’t think punters will slow down with the favourite.
Race 7 3:40pm AEST – No. 1 Explosive Truth
Looking to bounce back from a disappointing effort at Wyong is Explosive Truth, who is much better than what that run reflects. The Waterhouse/Bott-trained four-year-old owns one win from 10 starts, but he has always been knocking on the door. He owns five second placings, including three out of his last five starts.
Three of those placings came at Kembla Grange and over this distance, so it’s nothing new for the four-year-old and he deserves a winning turn. The only negative is drawing barrier 11, but he typically shows good speed from the barriers and he has handled soft conditions in the past. Everything points towards another consistent effort and he should give punters an excellent sight at respectable odds with bookmakers.
Our four best bests from Kembla Grange on Thursday.
Best Bet: Stiller Race 1 @145 at Sportsbet - 3 Units
Best Bet: Significant Rule Race 2 @230 at Bookmaker - 3 Units
Best Bet: Command King Race 5 @260 at BlueBet - 2 Units
Best Bet: Explosive Truth Race 7 @170 at Sportsbet - 3 Units
30 October 2021
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