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Melbourne Cup 2024 Betting Tips - Ciaron Maher favoured to claim another Melbourne Cup

adam-cusworth
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Last updated: 29 Jul 2024
Adam Cusworth 29 Jul 2024
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  • Our best long range selections for the Melbourne Cup
  • The 2024 Melbourne Cup will be run on November 5
  • Top long-range bets: Circle Of Fire, Berkshire Breeze, Tower Of London
  • Focused picks based on 2023 and 2024 performances and staying ability.
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Melbourne Cup
Melbourne Cup (Getty Images)

The 2024 Melbourne Cup shapes as another classic edition of the race that stops a nation and will be held on Tuesday November 5. 

Circle Of Fire heads the market with ladbrokes at the $15 after his win in the Sydney Cup (3200m) during the autumn.

Middle Earth, A Piece Of Heaven, Berkshire Breeze, The Map, Tower Of London, Vauban and the 2023 winner, Without A Fight are among a number of contender prominent in long range markets. 

Here are our top three long range predictions for the Melbourne Cup. 

Circle Of Fire


I was really impressed by what Circle Of Fire was able to do in his four starts in Australia earlier this year. The imported galloper made his mark when stepping out over 2600m and beyond, taking out the Chairmans Quality (2600m), before backing up a week later to claim the Sydney Cup. The lightly raced four-year-old went a healthy 19.2 lengths faster than standard benchmark in the Sydney Group 1 on Day 2 of The Championships. He should improve over the winter and at his second campaign in Australia, the son of Almanzor ticks a lot of boxes in long-term calculations for the Melbourne Cup. 

Berkshire Breeze


The Ciaron Maher-trained import made his mark in the Melbourne winter with a couple of dominant wins at Flemington. The lightly raced galloper stepped up from a dominant three-length win at Cranbourne in a lowly BenchMark 70 over the 2025m, before trouncing his rivals by five lengths at his first go at Flemington in a BM84 over the 2520m. He was in a class of his own when taking out the Banjo Patterson Series Final (2600m) by five lengths, going a very healthy 14.2 lengths faster than standard benchmark, indicating that he is the real deal. Maher had success in these races in the past few years with Persan and Grand Promenade, who both performed well in the Melbourne Cup, while he took out the 2022 version of the race with Gold Trip. 

Tower Of London


As always, there will be a number of international gallopers in contention on the first Tuesday in November. Tower of London is one that is likely to be aimed at the two-miler and is out of the Aidan O’Brien stable, who picked up success in the 2018 Melbourne Cup with Cross Counter. Like Cross Counter, Tower of London claimed the Dubai Gold Cup (3200m), coming with a barnstorming finish. The son of Galileo has since taken out a Group 2 affair at The Curragh over the 2800m. He has firmed in markets for the Cup since that effort and is amongst the better early picks of the possible foreign contingent to make their way over. 

Verdict

Our best bets for the Melbourne Cup:

Best Bet1: Circle Of Fire Melbourne Cup Winner @14/1 at Playup Racing - 1 Unit
Best Bet2: Berkshire Breeze Melbourne Cup Winner @20/1 at Ladbrokes Australia - 1 Unit
Best Bet3: Tower Of London Melbourne Cup Winner @20/1 at Neds - 1 Unit
Circle Of Fire
Melbourne Cup Winner
@14/1 - 1 Unit
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Berkshire Breeze
Melbourne Cup Winner
@20/1 - 1 Unit
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Tower Of London
Melbourne Cup Winner
@20/1 - 1 Unit
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