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Doomben 10,000 Tips - Runner-by-Runner Guide for the Doomben Group 1

joshua-bell
16 May 2024
Joshua Bell 16 May 2024
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  • Runner-by-Runner Guide to Doomben 10,000
  • Who will take out the Doomben Group 1?
  • Can Espiona beat I Wish I Win
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espiona
Espiona (Getty Images)

The Group 1 Doomben 10,000 kick starts the Brisbane Winter Racing Carnival and is run over 10,000 at Doomben race course under weight-for-age conditions.

First run in 1933 the race has been won by some champion sprinters including Manikato (1979), Takeover Target (2008) and Redzel (2017).

Another fantastic field has been assembled this year and we have run through every runner below and offer our thoughts and betting plays below.

1. I Wish I Win (1)


Peter Moody and Katherine Coleman had a successful autumn carnival and they saddle up their star sprinter for the Queensland feature Group 1.

The son of Savabeel has been incredibly consistent throughout his career, placing in all but one of his 19 starts and he has amassed over $11 million in prize money.

The stable has been patient with the horse and likes to keep him to short campaigns and he was last seen finishing third in the T.J Smith at Randwick first up over five weeks ago.

He’s the horse to beat and any rain will only help his chances.

2. Private Eye (6)


He’s yet to win during this long campaign but has been placed in three of his five runs including a narrow defeat to Imperatriz first up down the Flemington straight.

The six-year-old gelding is capable on all surfaces and his best is definitely good enough to win a race of this quality.

He’s had a trial in between runs to tick the legs over and I’ll be interested to see where he settled from barrier six.

3. Mazu (8)


A change of stable from Peter and Paul Snowden to Joe Pride had connections hoping for a change in form for this sprinting journeyman this campaign.

His first two runs were much better than they look on paper and he broke through for an impressive win at Group 3 level last time out.

The heavy track that day was a big advantage for him and he’ll be hoping the rain tumbles down in Brisbane on Saturday.

4. Body Bob (7)


Put together four wins in a row during his last campaign including wins at Nowra and Gundagai.

That form doesn’t stack up to a Group 1 like this and he’s yet to win in two starts so far this prep.
Triple figures seems about right.

5. Bella Nipotina (3)


Yet to win in five starts this time in but she just doesn’t know how to run a bad race.

She has finished within two lengths of the winner in all those starts and four of them were at Group 1 level with the other being the $5 million Quokka in Perth.

Another that will appreciate any rain that falls and it would take a brave punter to say she couldn’t win.

6. Chain Of Lightning (5)


The horse that gave Katherine Coleman her first Group 1 victory as a partnership with Peter Moody when the grey filly took out the T.J Smith on a heavy track at the end of the autumn carnival.

Wasn’t suited in the All Aged Stakes which probably should have been canned because of the track and comes back to 1200m where she has won four times from nine career starts.

She’s capable on her day and she’s a mare in form and racing well.

7. Espiona (9)


Has been racing extremely well without winning right throughout this campaign including two placings at Group 1 level.

She simply should have won the T.J Smith with clear running in the straight and we are all aware of her sharp turn of foot at the end of her races.

If she’s within striking distance in the straight then look for her late and at the price she is the best bet in the race in my opinion.

8. Wee Nessy (2)


A progressive four-year-old mare who has placed in 12 of 17 career race starts including all four so far this campaign.

Made up good ground from fifth to score by over a length in the Group 2 Sapphire Stakes two back and found one better in Antino last start.

Represents good value at her current price.

9. Stefi Magnetica (4)


The only three-year-old in the race and a filly with a fair amount of ability.

She was beaten by the barest of margins in the Group 1 Surround Stakes back in March behind Tropical Squall and she has filled the placings in seven of her 10 career starts.

She’s not suited under these conditions but if she runs well the connections may push on toward the Stradbroke.

Verdict

SELECTIONS

1st: No. 7 Espiona
2nd: No. 1 I Wish I Win
3rd: No. 5 Bella Nipotina
4th: No. 2 Private Eye

Best Bet1: Espiona Winner @5/1 at Elitebet - 2 Units
Espiona
Winner
@5/1 - 2 Units
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